AOR-E
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII W OF 20E.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 17TH OF JANUARY 2025 AT 17:00 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIED BY INDIVIDUA/01/17 AT 1200 UTC:
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 34.6 S / 58.5 E (THIRTY-FOUR DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY-EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)
MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 31 KT
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 500 KM 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
12H: 2025/01/18 00 UTC: 34.9 S / 64.9 E, WIND MAX= 045 KT, POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 285 SE: 0 SW: 195 NW: 295
34 KT NE: 185 SE: 0 SW: 85 NW: 155
24H: 2025/01/18 12 UTC: 34.4 S / 71.8 E, WIND MAX= 035 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 230 SE: 0 SW: 220 NW: 260
34 KT NE: 140 SE: 0 SW: 85 NW: 110
36H: 2025/01/19 00 UTC: 34.1 S / 76.5 E, WIND MAX= 030 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 150 SW: 150 NW: 195
48H: 2025/01/19 12 UTC: 34.2 S / 80.6 E, WIND MAX= 030 KT, EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION
28 KT NE: 0 SE: 185 SW: 130 NW: 140
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
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1. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 inLow 988 hPa 48s11e
Low 988 hPa 35s56e (POST-TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5 DIKELEDI)
1. Cold Front: 27s20w 35s04w 40s03e into 48s11e
AREA FORECAST:
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ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W):
WIND : SE to E 05 to 15.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers an (15S/30S, 00E/2to SE 10 to 20, but variable 05 to 10 in the south-west.
VIS : Good.
TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W):
WIND : NW 15 to 25 in the north-east, otherwise W to SW 10 to 20
reaching 25 in the south, but SE to S 10 to 20 in the north-
west. It will become variable 05 to 10 in the west towards end
of period.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places, becoming good from the
south-west towards mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-east at first, with SW swell.
CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E):
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north until mid-period, otherwise NW
10 to 20 reaching 25 to 30 in the south-east, but SW 10 to 20
in the north-east, reaching 25 in the west.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the south-west,
spreading to the north-west and south-east by mid-period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the southern half, reaching 4.5m in the south-
east, with SW swell.
ENDS CAPE TOWN RADIO
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