WTPZ22 KNHC 241431
TCMEP2 1431
HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024
1500 UTC THU OCT 24 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 120.3W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 933 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT……. 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT……. 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT……. 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 105SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 120.3W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 85 KT.
50 KT… 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…110NE 70SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.3N 131.2W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT… 90NE 40SE 50SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.5N 133.3W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 120.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
¤¤
FORECASTER KELLY/B.ADAMS
UUID B9D7190E-9214-11EF-9189-0AFB0A270000 TX 1
