WTPZ22 KNHC 221450
TCMEP2 1450
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024
1500 UTC TUE OCT 22 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 106.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT……. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT……. 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 106.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 106.0W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.6N 109.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.4N 112.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.3N 116.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.2N 119.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT…GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT… 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.3N 122.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT… 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.0N 125.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT… 60NE 45SE 40SW 55NW.
34 KT…100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 18.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT… 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT…100NE 60SE 60SW 110NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 106.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
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FORECASTER PAPIN/TORRES-VAZQUEZ
UUID 0C3CAD6C-9085-11EF-90CB-0AFB0A270000 TX 1
