WTPZ22 KNHC 230234
TCMEP2 0234
HURRICANE KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122024
0300 UTC WED OCT 23 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.1W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT……. 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT……. 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT……. 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 110.1W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 109.2W
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.5N 112.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.3N 116.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.2N 119.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT… 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.4N 122.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT…GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT… 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.2N 125.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT… 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT…100NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.4N 127.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT… 55NE 40SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT…110NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.2N 131.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT… 50NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…110NE 70SE 60SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 20.6N 135.0W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 110.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
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FORECASTER BUCCI
UUID 4A43EDF2-90E7-11EF-A33D-0AFB0A260000 TX 1
