IOR
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII, EAST OF 20E.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 22ND OF OCTOBER 2024 AT 08:30 UTC.
FOR SOUTH-EAST SECTOR OF METAREA. VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
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COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
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FORECAST VALID FROM 221000 TO 231000 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
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1. CAPE EAST: Cyclonic 35 in the north-west reaching 40 until mid-period.
2. DURBAN EAST: E to NE 35 in the central-north in the first half of the
Period.
3. MARION FORTIES EAST: W to NW 35 to 40 in the south until mid-period.
SYNOPTIC CHART 06:00Z
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High 1036 hPa 40s45e
Low 1006 hPa 38s08w
Low 1014 hPa 22s14e
Low 1014 hPa 30s31e
1. Cold Front: 20s23w 25s15w 30s10w 35s06w into 38s08w
AREA FORECAST:
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CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the south-east, otherwise NE to E 15 to
25, but cyclonic 25 to 35 in the north-west reaching 40
until mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the central
and northern parts, but very poor in the north-west.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the north-west spreading to the west from mid-
period reaching 4.5 to 5.0m in the north-west in the first
half of the period, with NE swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : E to NE 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the central-north in the
first half of the period, but SW 15 to 25 in the extreme
south-west spreading to the north-west from mid-period.
VIS : Good, but moderate to poor in showers and rain in the west.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m over the western and central parts, with E to NE
swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 over the central parts during the first half
of the period, otherwise SE to E 10 to 20, reaching 25 in the
south-east until mid-period. It will become NE to E 05 to 15
towards the end of the period.
VIS : Good, but moderate in showers and rain in the north towards
the end of the period.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the extreme south-east, with SE to E swell.
MADAGASCAR EAST (10S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : NE 15 to 25 in the extreme south-west, otherwise SE to E 15 to
25.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : W to NW 15 to 25 reaching 30 to 35 in the south until m
