WTNT21 KNHC 210244
TCMAT1 0244
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162024
0300 UTC MON OCT 21 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.6W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT……. 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT……. 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.6W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 74.5W
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.4N 75.0W…INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT… 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 20.9N 75.3W…OVER WATER
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 21.9N 74.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.4N 73.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.1N 72.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 27.3N 70.2W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 74.6W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY…WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1…AT 21/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
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FORECASTER REINHART
UUID 695821E6-8F56-11EF-A27B-0AFB0A260000 TX 1
