WTNT23 KNHC 071443
TCMAT3 1443
HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024
1500 UTC MON OCT 07 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 41.2W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT……. 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT……. 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT……. 80NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 41.2W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 40.8W
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.5N 42.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.0N 44.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N 45.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.6N 47.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.4N 48.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.1N 49.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 24.7N 50.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N 48.9W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 41.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
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FORECASTER HAGEN
UUID 94C13904-84BA-11EF-8B2B-0AFB0A270000 TX 1
