LES21 Marlink 10.10.107.29 4-OCT-2024 10:11:09 924907SECURITE
Weather bulletin on METAREA 2,
METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Friday 4 October 2024 at 1015 UTC.
Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE.
Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE.
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than
the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the
significant height.
Part 1 : WARNING NR 361.
Part 2 : General synopsis, Friday 4 at 00 UTC
Low “ex-ISAAC” 997 59N16W, slow-moving and merging with the next low.
Low 993 48N41W, moving east, expected 994 47N35W by 04/12UTC, then
moving northeast, expected 975 51N23W by 05/12UTC. Associated
disturbed flow above 35N, reaching bay of Biscay later. .
High 1024 35N25W, slowly weakening.
Tropical storm LESLIE centered near 10.0N/32.0W at 04/0300Z, moving
W at 5 kt,
expected 10.1N/32.8W by 04/12UTC , then expected hurricane
10.5N/34.2W by 05/00UTC , and 11.0N/35.6W by 05/12UTC .
Max sustained wind expected 75 kt , gusts 90 kt.
Monsoon trough from 18.5N16W to 12.5N25W, interrupted by LESLIE.
Part 3 : Area forecasts to Saturday 5 at 12 UTC
FARADAY.
Southwesterly 5 to 7 locally 8, from east to west, then mainly
Westerly 6 to 8 soon, veering quickly Northwesterly in west. Severe
gusts.
Moderate or rough, becoming rough or very rough, and cross.
Poor or very poor vis in thundery rain or showers.
ROMEO.
Mainly South or Southwest 4 or 5, at times 6, increasing 6 or 7 in
west soon, then veering West or Southwest at end. Gusts.
Moderate, increasing moderate or rough soon, then locally very rough
in west later.
Poor or very poor vis in thundery rain or showers.
ALTAIR.
Increasing West or Southwest 7 or 8, veering West or Northwest from
west soon, then decreasing 5 or 6 at end. Severe gusts.
Rough or very rough, at times cross.
Poor or very poor vis in thundery rain or showers.
CHARCOT.
Increasing mainly Southwesterly 5 or 6 from west, at times 7 in south
soon. Gusts.
Moderate, becoming rough in west soon, then rough or very rough
everywhere later.
Poor or very poor vis in thundery rain or showers.
ACORES.
Increasing West or Southwest 5 or 6, at times 7 in north, then
veering West or Northwest 4 or 5, at times 6, from northwest later.
Severe gusts.
Moderate or rough, at times very rough in north.
Poor or very poor vis in thundery rain or showers.
JOSEPHINE.
In northwest, West or Southwest 5 or 6, increasing at times 7 in far
northwest soon.
In southeast, Northwest 3 or 4, backing Southwest 4 or 5
later.Gusts.
Moderate, increasing rough or very rough and cross in northwest
soon.
Poor vis in some fog patches, then in thundery rain or showers in
northwest later.
IRVING.
Variable clockwise 2 to 4, locally Southwest 5 in extreme north,
veering Northerly in far northwest at end.
Moderate, increasing locally rough in far northwest at end.
Poor vis in thundery rain or showers in northwest later.
MADEIRA.
Northeasterly 3 to 5 from north to south, decreasing Variable
clockwise 2 to 4 later.
Becoming slight or moderate.
PAZENN.
South or Southeast 4 or 5, but 3 or 4 in southwest at first,
increasing 5 or 6 next night, then 6 or 7 in east tomorrow morning.
Gusts.
Moderate, becoming rough in northeast tomorrow morning.
Moderate or poor vis in rain or showers, at times thundery.
IROISE, YEU.
Southeasterly 3 or 4, increasing 4 or 5 next night, locally 6 in
west, and increasing 6 or 7 tomorrow morning. Gusts.
Slight, becoming gradually moderate from west, locally rough in west
at end.
Vis locally poor due to fog patches at first.
ROCHEBONNE.
East or Southeast 3 or 4, veering Southerly 4 or 5 this evening, and
increasing 6 or 7 in northwest tomorrow morning. Gusts.
Slight, becoming gradually moderate from west.
Vis locally poor due to fog patches at first.
CANTABRICO.
East or Southeast 3 to 5, to 4, increasing 4 or 5 this evening, and
increasing 5 or 6 in far northwest tomorrow morning.
Slight or moderate.
Vis locally poor due to fog patches at first.
FINISTERRE.
South or Southeast 2 to 4, increasing 3 to 5 this afternoon, veering
South or Southwest 5 or 6 overnight, at times 7 tomorrow morning.
Gusts.
Slight or moderate, becoming moderate or rough tomorrow morning.
Moderate or poor vis in rain or showers, at times thundery tomorrow.
PORTO.
Variable 2 to 4, increasing Westerly 4 or 5 from west soon, then
increasing Southwest 5 or 6 later.
Slight or moderate, increasing rough at end in northwest.
Poor vis in rain or showers.
SAO VICENTE.
Northwesterly 3 or 4, at times 5, locally backing Southwesterly 4 or
5 in northwest at end.
Slight or moderate.
Poor vis in some fog patches.
CADIZ.
Westerly 2 to 4, decreasing at times 1 to 3.
Slight.
Poor vis in some fog patches.
GIBRALTAR STRAIT.
Westerly 3 to 5 from west to east.
Slight.
Poor vis in some fog patches.
CASABLANCA.
In far northeast, Variable 2 to 4. Elsewhere, Northerly 4 or 5, then
veering Northeasterly 4 or 5 everywhere later.
Slight or moderate.
Poor vis due to some fog patches..
AGADIR.
North or Northeast 5 or 6, locally 7 in east. Gusts, temporarily
severe gusts.
Moderate or rough.
Poor vis due to coastal fog patches.
METEOR.
East or Northeast 4 or 5, decreasing 2 to 4 soon, then veering
Easterly 2 or 3 later.
Moderate.
CANARIAS.
Northeasterly 5 or 6, locally 7 between islands, decreasing 4 or 5,
at times 6, later. Severe gusts.
Moderate or rough, abating moderate at end.
Moderate vis due to coastal fog patches.
TARFAYA.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, locally 6 in north. Gusts.
Moderate, locally rough in north.
Poor vis due to coastal fog patches.
CAPE VERDE.
East or Northeast 3 or 4, increasing locally 5 in far southwest at
end.
Moderate.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls with severe gusts in
southeast.
CAP BLANC.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, at times 6 in north, gradually becoming
Variable 2 to 4 in south soon. Gusts.
Moderate, locally rough in far north.
Moderate vis due to some coastal fogRA LEONE.
In extOCHEBONNE.
Threat of Southwest near gale over FINISTERRE.
Persistence or threat of Westerly near gale or gale over FARADAY,
ALTAIR, ROMEO and CHARCOT.
Persistence of North or Northeast near gale over AGADIR.
Cyclonic violent storm or hurricane over extreme west of SIERRA
LEONE, improving.