WTNT22 KNHC 040231
TCMAT2 0231
HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024
0300 UTC FRI OCT 04 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 47.5W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 935 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT……. 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT……. 70NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT…….160NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 330SE 300SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 47.5W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 47.1W
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N 48.6W
MAX WIND 135 KT…GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT… 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT… 70NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT…160NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.4N 49.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT…GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT… 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT… 90NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT…180NE 160SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.8N 50.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT…GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT…110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT…180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 30.0N 49.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT… 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.
50 KT…120NE 120SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT…190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.6N 48.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT…120NE 120SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT…200NE 220SE 140SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 37.3N 44.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT…130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT…230NE 260SE 170SW 170NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 43.5N 33.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT…130NE 140SE 120SW 80NW.
34 KT…240NE 260SE 220SW 190NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 47.0N 16.8W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT…110NE 110SE 110SW 90NW.
34 KT…280NE 240SE 220SW 270NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.5N 47.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
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FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
UUID D72860B6-81F8-11EF-9C40-0AFB0A260000 TX 1
