WTNT22 KNHC 030035
TCMAT2 0035
HURRICANE KIRK SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024
0000 UTC THU OCT 03 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 44.3W AT 03/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT……. 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT……. 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT…….190NE 190SE 80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 44.3W AT 03/0000Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 43.6W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.9N 45.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT…GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT… 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT… 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT…180NE 170SE 90SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.1N 46.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT…GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT… 45NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT… 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT…170NE 160SE 90SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.4N 48.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT…GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT… 55NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
50 KT…100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT…170NE 160SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.8N 49.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT…GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT… 60NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT…100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT…170NE 160SE 100SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.7N 50.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT…110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT…180NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N 50.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT…GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT…130NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT…190NE 190SE 120SW 160NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 35.1N 47.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT…120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.
34 KT…220NE 230SE 170SW 150NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 42.5N 38.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT…130NE 150SE 120SW 90NW.
34 KT…220NE 280SE 230SW 190NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 44.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
¤¤
FORECASTER BUCCI/CANGIALOSI
UUID 5864710E-811F-11EF-9BE2-0AFB0A260000 TX 1
