LES21 Marlink 10.10.107.29 30-SEP-2024 22:11:07 561941SECURITE
Weather bulletin on METAREA 2,
METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Monday 30 September 2024 at 2215 UTC.
Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE.
Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE.
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than
the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the
significant height.
Part 1 : WARNING NR 356.
Part 2 : General synopsis, Monday 30 at 12 UTC
Low 998 52N00W, moving northeast and expected 1001 over south North
Sea by 01/00 UTC, then moving south, expected 1004 50N02E by 02/00
UTC.
New low deepening 1010 46N10W by 01/00 UTC, moving east and expected
1007 46N02W but 01/12 UTC, then 1009 over south France by 02/00 UTC.
Low “ISAAC” 983 45N29W at 30/15UTC, moving northeast and filling,
expected 996 46N26W by 01/00 UTC, then 999 47N24W by 01/12 UTC, then
998 49N23W by 02/00 UTC.
Low 998 40N47W, expected 989 45N46W by 02/00 UTC.
High 1022 31N23W, expected 1022 34N22W by 02/00 UTC.
Tropical Storm KIRK near 13.5N34.8W at 15UTC, low 1001, moving W at
10 kt, and strengthening, expected Hurricane on Tuesday. Numerous
moderate to scattered strong convection associated.
Tropical wave along 22W, south of 16N, moving W at 10 kt. Formation
chance to become a Tropical Depression : 50 percent in the next 48
hours.
Monsoon trough from 15N15W to 12N27W, then to 13N30W and TS KIRK.
Part 3 : Area forecasts to Wednesday 2 at 00 UTC
FARADAY.
In west, East or Northeast decreasing 5 or 6, temporarily 7 at first,
locally Variable 3 to 5 in south later, then increasing Easterly 6 or
7 in northwest at end. Severe gusts.
In east, Cyclonic 8 or 9, decreasing 7 or 8 in north soon, but
Westerly 5 or 6 in south, then decreasing Westerly 5 or 6 in north
later. Severe gusts.
Rough or very rough and cross, at times high in east.
Poor or very poor vis in heavy thundery rain or thundersqualls.
ROMEO.
In west, increasing Cyclonic 6 or 7, locally Easterly 8 in far
northwest, veering Southerly later, then decreasing South or
Southwest 5 or 6 at end. Severe gusts.
In east, Easterly 4 to 6 with gusts, increasing South or Southeast 6
or 7 later. Gusts.
Moderate or rough and cross, locally very rough in far northwest.
Poor or very poor vis in heavy thundery rain or thundersqualls.
ALTAIR.
In northeast, Cyclonic decreasing 7 or 8, temporarily 9 at first,
then West or Southwest 6 or 7 soon, and 5 or 6 later. Severe gusts.
In southwest, Southwesterly 4 to 6, increasing 6 or 7 soon. Severe
gusts.
Decreasing rough or very rough and cross, temporarily high at first,
then rough at
