WTNT22 KNHC 301453
TCMAT2 1453
TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024
1500 UTC MON SEP 30 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 34.8W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT…….100NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 34.8W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 34.3W
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.6N 36.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT…110NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 14.0N 38.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT… 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…120NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.7N 40.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT… 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…140NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.8N 41.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT… 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT… 50NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…170NE 160SE 90SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.1N 43.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT… 70NE 70SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT…180NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.4N 44.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT…GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT… 90NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT…190NE 190SE 100SW 150NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 20.7N 46.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT…120NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.
34 KT…200NE 190SE 120SW 180NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.5N 48.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT…GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT…130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
34 KT…220NE 200SE 130SW 190NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 34.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
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FORECASTER BLAKE
UUID C1F09A0C-7F3B-11EF-B11C-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
