LES21 Marlink 10.10.107.29 30-SEP-2024 10:11:13 036512SECURITE
Weather bulletin on METAREA 2,
METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Monday 30 September 2024 at 1015 UTC.
Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE.
Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE.
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than
the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the
significant height.
Part 1 : WARNING NR 355.
Part 2 : General synopsis, Monday 30 at 00 UTC
Low 992 51N05W, moving northeast and expected 997 over North Sea by
01/00 UTC, then 52N05E by 01/12 UTC.
New low deepening 1010 46N11W by 01/00 UTC, moving east and expected
1009 46N04W but 01/12 UTC.
Low “ISAAC” 975 44N33W at 30/03UTC, moving northeast and filling,
expected 999 47N24W by 01/12 UTC.
High 1022 31N24W, slow-moving and extending with a ridge towards
south of France.
TD #12 near 13.8N 32.5W, low 1006, moving W at 8 kt, becoming
tropical storm in afternoon, moving to 14.2N 35.7W by 30/12UTC, then
becoming hurricane near 15.9N 41.5W by 02/06 UTC.
Tropical wave along 18W, from 16N, southward.
Moderate to strong convection associated.
Monsoon trough from 14N17W, toward TD #12, then to 15N45W.
Part 3 : Area forecasts to Tuesday 1 at 12 UTC
FARADAY.
In west, East or Northeast 7 or 8, gradually decreasing 5 or 6 soon.
Severe gusts.
In east, increasing East or Northeast 7 or 8, becoming Cyclonic soon,
then increasing 8 or 9 later. Severe gusts.
Rough or very rough and cross, at times high and cross in southeast.
Temporarily SW swell 5 m in far south at first.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls or heavy rain.
ROMEO.
In west, Easterly 5 or 6, increasing 6 or 7 soon, then East or
Southeast 7 or 8 at end. Severe gusts.
In east, Easterly 5 or 6 with gusts, locally Cyclonic in far south,
decreasing East or Northeast 4 or 5 later, then becoming Easterly at
end. Gusts.
Moderate or rough and cross, locally becoming very rough in extreme
west later.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls or heavy rain.
ALTAIR.
In west, Cyclonic 8 or 9, gradually decreasing Variable mainly
Southwesterly 4 to 6 soon, then 6 or 7 later. Severe gusts.
In east, increasing Cyclonic 8 or 9, decreasing 7 or 8 soon, then
gradually becoming Southwest 5 or 6 at end. Severe gusts.
Very rough or high and cross, decreasing rough or very rough later.
Temporarily SW swell 5 m in far north at first.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls or heavy rain.
CHARCOT.
Mainly Southwest 4 or 5, at times 6, decreasing Southwesterly 4 or 5
soon, then 3 or 4, locally 5 in far northwest at end. Gusts.
Rough, locally becoming very rough and cross in extreme northwest
later.
Poor or very poor vis in thundery rain or showers.
ACORES.
Southwest 5 or 6, locally 4 in far southeast, locally increasing 6 or
7 in west later.
Rough, locally becoming very rough and cross in west later.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls or heavy rain, mainly in
west.
JOSEPHINE.
In northwest, decreasing Southwest 4 or 5, 3 or 4 later, then veering
Westerly at end.
In southeast, Clockwise 2 to 4, becoming Variable mainly Westerly at
end.
Moderate or rough.
