WTNT22 KNHC 292041
TCMAT2 2041
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024
2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 32.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 32.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 32.1W
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.9N 33.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 35.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.5N 38.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…110NE 80SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.0N 40.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT…140NE 130SE 60SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.9N 41.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT… 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…160NE 150SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.4N 42.7W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT… 75NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT…170NE 160SE 90SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.0N 45.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT…GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT… 95NE 90SE 65SW 80NW.
34 KT…190NE 180SE 110SW 150NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 22.5N 47.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT…GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT…110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.
34 KT…210NE 200SE 150SW 180NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 32.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
¤¤
FORECASTER PAPIN
UUID 3596D42E-7EA3-11EF-B0CE-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
