WTNT21 KNHC 290232
TCMAT1 0232
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024
0300 UTC SUN SEP 29 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 47.5W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT……. 60NE 20SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 45SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 47.5W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 47.1W
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.6N 48.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 20SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.4N 49.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.1N 49.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.8N 49.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N 48.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.2N 48.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 47.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
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FORECASTER BERG
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