LES21 Marlink 10.10.107.29 29-SEP-2024 10:11:08 293534SECURITE
Weather bulletin on METAREA 2,
METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Sunday 29 September 2024 at 1015 UTC.
Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE.
Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE.
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than
the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the
significant height.
Part 1 : WARNING NR 353.
Part 2 : General synopsis, Sunday 29 at 00 UTC
Hurricane “ISAAC” is located near 42.1N 37.6W at 29/03UTC with
central pressure 972.
“ISAAC” is moving northeast, expected 41.1N 36.3W by 29/12 UTC, then
44.2N 33.7W by 30/00 UTC, then becoming post-tropical, expected
45.4N30.6W by 30/12UTC.
Associated trough extending Eastwards, with secondery low expected
1010 46N17W by 30/12UTC.
Low 985 50N19W, moving east, expected 991 just south Irish Sea, then
998 over east England by 30/12UTC.
High 1028 over France, moving towards Baltic Sea.
High 1023 35N17W, drifting southwest, expected 1023 31N25W by 30/12
UTC.
Low 1007 near 15N31W, slowly moving and deepening, expected 1005 by
30/00 UTC, then slowly moving westward on Monday.
Tropical wave is along 30W, from 20N southward, moving west 5-10
knots.
Monsoon trough from 12N15W to 15N31W near AL90 low, then 14N40W.
The ITCZ continues from 14N40W to 14N53W.
Part 3 : Area forecasts to Monday 30 at 12 UTC
FARADAY.
In east, increasing East or Southeast 5 or 7 .
In west, increasing Easterly 8 or 9, becoming Cyclonic 8 to 10 later.
Severe to violent gusts.
Rough or very rough, locally high, and cross in long SW swell.
Poor or very poor in heavy rain or showers, locally thundery.
ROMEO.
In northeast, West or Northwest 8 or 9. Severe or violent gusts.
In southwest, decreasing West or Northwest 4 to 6, then increasing
East or Southeast 4 to 6 soon, but becoming Southwesterly 4 or 5 in
far South at end. Gusts.
Very rough or high, and cross, abating moderate or rough at end.
Long NW swell.
Poor or very poor in heavy rain or showers, locally thundery.
ALTAIR.
In west, East or Southeast 7 or 8, becoming Cyclonic 8 to 10 soon.
Severe to violent gusts.
In east, South or Southeast 5 or 6, at times 7, from west soon, then
veering Southwest 5 or 6 later. Severe gusts.
Rough or very rough, locally very rough or high in west, and cross.
Long SW swell in northwest.
Poor or very poor in heavy rain or showers, locally thundery.
CHARCOT.
Decreasing Westerly 4 to 6 from southwest to northeast, backing South
or Southeast 5 or 6 in west soon, then veering Southwesterly 5 or 6
everywhere later, locally decreasing 4 in far northwest at end.
Gusts.
Rough, locally very rough in north.
Poor or very poor in thundery rain or showers.
ACORES.
Southwest 5 or 6, at times 4 in far southeast. Gusts.
Rough, locally very rough an cross in northwest, abating rough at
end.
Poor or very poor in thundery rain or showers.
JOSEPHINE.
In northwest, Southwest 4 or 5, increasing 5 or 6 later.
In southeast, Variable clockwise 2 to 4, locally Northeast in far
southeast.
Moderate, increasing locally rough in northwest.
Poor or very poor in some scattered rain or thundery showers in
northwest.
IRVING.
In northwest, Southwest 4 or 5, locally 6 in extreme north. In
southeast, Variable 2 to 4.
Moderate, locally rough or very rough in northwest, at times cross.
In north, Poor or very poor vis in thundery rain or showers.
MADEIRA.
In northwest, Variable 2 to 4. In southeast, Northeasterly 3 or 4, at
times 5 in far east.
Moderate.
PAZENN.
Veering Westerly 7 or 8, at times 9 in northwest in daytime, veering
West or Northwest 4 or 5 overnight, locally 6 or 7 in northeast.
Severe gusts.
Very rough or high, becoming rough or very rough tomorrow.
Long W or NW swell 4 to 4.5m.
Poor vis in rain.
IROISE.
Southerly 7 or 8, veering Westerly this evening, and decreasing 5 or
6 tomorrow morning. Severe gusts.
Rough, becoming very rough this afternoon, then temporarily high
tonight.
W swell increasing 4.5m tomorrow morning.
Poor vis in rain.
YEU.
Southerly 6 or 7, at times 8 in west this morning, veering Westerly
this evening, and decreasing 5 or 6 tomorrow morning. Severe gusts.
Moderate or rough, becoming rough or very rough in afternoon, then
very rough tonight, temporarily high.
W or NW swell increasing 4.5m tomorrow morning.
Poor vis in rain.
ROCHEBONNE.
Southerly 5 or 6, locally 7 in north, veering Westerly this evening,
and decreasing 4 or 5 tomorrow morning. Gusts.
Moderate, becoming rough or very rough in afternoon.
NW swell increasing 3 or 4 m tonight.
Poor vis in rain.
CANTABRICO.
Southerly 4 or 5, locally Southwesterly 6 or 7 in far west, veering
Westerly 5 or 6 this evening, and decreasing 3 to 5 tomorrow morning.
Gusts.
Slight or moderate, increasing rough or very rough from west in
afternoon.
NW swell increasing 3 to 4 m tonight.
Poor vis in rain.
FINISTERRE.
Southwesterly 5 or 6, but 7 o?=r 8 in northeast, veering Westerly 3 to
5 this afternoon, locally 6 in northeast, and backing Southerly from
west at end.
Rough or very rough, becoming rough tomorrow.
NW swell 3 or 4m.
Poor vis in rain.
PORTO.
Variable 2 to 4, but temporarily Southwest 4 or 5 in extreme north
at first.
Moderate, locally rough in north.
Locally poor or very poor in some showers in extreme north, or due to
fog patches.
SAO VICENTE.
In extreme southeast, Northeasterly 4 to 6. Elsewhere, Northerly 3 or
4, at times 5.
Moderate, locally rough in extreme southeast.
Moderate vis due to fog patches in north.
CADIZ, GIBRALTAR STRAIT.
In and leeward strait, East or Northeast 5 to 7. Elsewhere, Variable
2 to 4. Severe gusts.
Slight or moderate, locally rough in and leeward strait.
Moderate vis due to fog patches in south of CADIZ.
CASABLANCA.
North or Northeast 4 or 5.
Moderate, temporarily rough at first.
AGADIR.
North or Northeast 4 or 5. Gusts.
Moderate.
METEOR.
East or Southeast 4 or 5, backing Easterly at end.
Moderate, at times slight in far north.
Poor vis due to sand haze in west.
CANARIAS.
Northeasterly 4 or 5, at times 6 near the coast. Gusts.
Moderate.
TARFAYA.
Northerly 4 or 5, decreasing 3 or 4 soon.
Moderate.
CAPE VERDE.
In north, East or Northeast 4 or 5. Gusts.
In south, Easterly 5 or 6, locally Northeasterly 2 to 4 in extreme
southeast. Severe gusts with thundersqualls.
Moderate locally rough in west.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls with severe gusts in south,
or due to sand haze.
CAP BLANC.
Northeasterly 5 or 6. Gusts.
Moderate.
Moderate or poor vis due to sand haze.
CAP TIMIRIS.
Variable 2 to 4, increasing Northerly 4 or 5 in north soon.
Moderate, locally slight in far east.
Moderate or poor vis due to sand haze.
SIERRA LEONE.
In far northwest, Cyclonic 4 or 5, becoming Southerly at end.
Elsewhere, Variable 2 to 4. at times Easterly 5 later. Severe gusts
in thundersqualls.
Slight or moderate.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls with severe gusts.
GULF OF GUINEA.
Southerly 2 to 4 in west.
Mainly Southwes
