WTNT21 KNHC 282040
TCMAT1 2040
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112024
2100 UTC SAT SEP 28 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 46.7W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT……. 60NE 20SE 0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 30SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 46.7W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 46.3W
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.9N 47.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 20SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.7N 48.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.3N 49.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.9N 49.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.5N 49.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.3N 49.1W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 46.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
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FORECASTER BUCCI
UUID FE06AE68-7DD9-11EF-8725-0AFB0B270000 TX 1
