LES21 Marlink 10.10.107.29 28-SEP-2024 10:11:09 750843SECURITE
Weather bulletin on METAREA 2,
METEO-FRANCE Toulouse, Saturday 28 September 2024 at 1015 UTC.
Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE.
Sea state in DOUGLAS SCALE.
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than
the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the
significant height.
Part 1 : WARNING NR 351.
Part 2 : General synopsis, Saturday 28 at 00 UTC
Low 1000 46N30W, moving northeast and expected 986 49N17W by 29/00
UTC, then 990 49N18W by 29/00UTC, and 987 51N11W by 29/12 UTC.
Low “ISAAC” expected 980 41N38W by 29/00UTC, moving north and
expected 980 43N37W by 29/12 UTC.
High 1027 44N13W, moving northeast and expected 1029 over north of
France by 29/00UTC, then 1029 over Centrale Europe by 29/12 UTC.
High 1025 32N26W, slowly moving northeast and expected 1022 31N21W by
29/12 UTC.
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 28W/29W, from 20N
southward, moving westward 10 knots.
Monsoon trough from 13N17W, to 13N19W, 14N33W and 14N42W.
The ITCZ continues from 14N42W, to 08N58W.
Part 3 : Area forecasts to Sunday 29 at 12 UTC
FARADAY.
Cyclonic 8 or 9, gradually decreasing North or Northwest 4 to 6 in
west soon, and locally veering Easterly 5 to 7 in far southwest later
then decreasing Northwest 6 or 7 in east at end. Severe gusts.
Very rough or high, gradually decreasing rough or very rough at end.
Poor or very poor vis in thundery heavy rain or thundersqualls in
east , gradually clearing from west soon, then becoming poor or very
poor in heavy rain at times thundery in south at end.
ROMEO.
South or Southeast 7 or 8, temporarily 4 to 6 in east at first, then
increasing Westerly 8 or 9 soon, then veering West or Northwest in
west later. Severe to violent gusts.
Rough or very rough, increasing very rough or high soon, in long S
swell.
Poor or very poor vis in heavy rain at times thundery from west,
clearing in west later.
ALTAIR.
In east, Westerly 7 or 8 until 28/21:00 UTC,veering Northwest 5 to 7
later, then becoming Southeast 4 to 6 at end. Severe gusts.
In west, decreasing Northerly 5 to 7,then increasing East or
Southeast 5 to 7 soon, locally 8 later. Severe gusts.
Rough or very rough, increasing very rough or high in far west
later.
Poor or very poor vis in heavy rain at ttimes thundery or
thundersqualls, temporarily clearing in north at first.
CHARCOT.
South or Southwest 6 or 7, locally 8 in north, then decreasing West
or Southwest 4 to 6, locally 7 in northeast at end. . Severe gusts.
Becoming rough or very rough, then locally high in far northwest
soon, in long W or NW swell in north soon.
Poor vis in heavy rain, at times thundery, mainly in northwest,
clearing at end.
ACORES.
South or Southwest 4 or 5, at times 6, gradually increasing Southerly
5 or 6 in west soon, then everywhere at end. Gusts.
In west, rough increasing very rough soon.
In east, moderate or rough.
Poor vis in rain or thundery showers, then poor or very poor vis in
heavy rain or thundersqualls in west soon.
JOSEPHINE.
In northwest, South or Southwest increasing 4 or 5, at times 6 in far
northwest at first, veering Southwest later.
In southeast, Northeasterly 3 or 4, decreasing Variable 2 to 4 soon.
Moderate, locally rough in far north soon.
Poor vis in rain or showers in far northwest.
IRVING.
In northwest,South or Southwest 4 or 5, gradually increasing 5 or 6
soon,
In southeast, Variable 2 to 4, becoming South or Southwest 3 or 4 at
end.
Slight or moderate, locally becoming moderate or rough in west soon.
Poor vis in thundery rain or showers in northwest soon, but moderate
vis due to sand haze in west.
MADEIRA.
East or Northeast 3 or 4, at times 5 in far southeast.
Moderate.
PAZENN.
Becoming Southeast 4 or 5 from west, then increasing South or
Southeast 6 or 7 in late day and 8 or 9 in evening, then veering
Southwest 7 or 8 from west in morning, locally 9 in northwest. Severe
gusts.
Moderate, increasing rough or very rough overnight, and very rough or
high in morning.
Long W swell 3 or 3.5m at end in southwest.
Moderate or poor vis in showers.
IROISE, YEU.
Variable 1 to 3, increasing South or Southeast 4 or 5 in the evening,
then 5 or 6 overnight, and 7 or 8 tomorrow morning. Severe gusts.
Decreasing slight or moderate, then increasing moderate or rough
tomorrow morning, locally very rough in northwest at end.
Moderate or poor vis in rain or showers.
ROCHEBONNE.
Northerly 2 to 4, veering Southeast 4 or 5 in evening, then
increasing Southerly 5 or 6 in late night. Gusts.
Moderate, locally slight in east, and increasing rough in northwest
at end.
Moderate or poor vis in rain or showers.
CANTABRICO.
Northerly 2 to 4, veering East or Southeast 4 or 5 in the evening, at
times 6, and Southerly 4 or 5 in morning, locally 6 or 7 in far
northwest.
Moderate or rough, decreasing slight or moderate overnight, locally
rough in northwest at end.
Moderate or poor vis in rain or showers.
FINISTERRE.
Easterly 2 to 4, increasing Southerly 5 or 6 in evening, at times 7
in northwest, then South or Southwest 6 or 7 in north overnight, but
5 or 6 in south. Gusts.
Moderate or rough, becoming very rough in northwest overnight.
Moderate or poor vis in showers in north.
PORTO.
Northeast 3 or 4, becoming Variable soon, then increasing locally
South or Southwest 4 or 5 in northwest later.
Moderate, temporarily rough.
SAO VICENTE.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, locally increasing 5 or 6 in southeast
soon.
Moderate, becoming rough in southeast later.
CADIZ.
Northerly 4 or 5, decreasing 3 or 4 soon, but gradually increasing
Easterly 6 or 7 leeward strait soon, and becoming Variable 3 to 5
elsewhere. Gusts.
Slight or moderate, becoming moderate or rough later.
GIBRALTAR STRAIT.
Variable 2 or 3 at first, increasing Easterly 6 or 7 soon. Severe
gusts.
Slight or moderate, becoming moderate or rough later.
CASABLANCA.
North or Northeast 4 or 5, occasionally 6 in far south soon.
Moderate, temporarily rough.
AGADIR.
North or Northeast 5 or 6. Gusts.
Moderate or rough.
Poor vis due to coastal fog patches, mainly in south.
METEOR.
Easterly 3 to 5 from north to south, locally Southeasterly in far
northwest at end.
Moderate, at times slight in far north.
Poor vis due to and haze in west.
CANARIAS.
East or Northeast 4 or 5, at times 6 between islands and in far
southeast. Gusts.
Moderate.
Poor vis in coastal fog patches.
TARFAYA.
Northerly 4 or 5, locally 3 in far south later.
Moderate, at times rough in far north.
Poor vis due to coastal fog patches, mainly in north.
CAPE VERDE.
In north, East or Northeast 4 or 5. Gusts.
In south, Easterly 5 or 6, locally Cyclonic in far south. Severe
gusts with thundersqualls.
Moderate or rough.
Poor or very poor vis with thundersqualls in south, moderate vis due
to sand haze in north.
CAP BLANC.
Northeasterly 5 or 6. Gusts.
Moderate.
Moderate vis due to sand haze.
CAP TIMIRIS.
Variable 2 to 4, but locally Northeasterly 4 or 5 in far north.
Moderate, locally slight in far east.
Moderate vis due to sand haze in north.
SIERRA LEONE.
In northwest, mainly West or Southwest 4 or 5, locally Cyclonic in
far north.
In southeast, Variable 2 to 4. mainly Southeast in far east.
Severe gusts with thundersqualls.
Moderate, locally rough in far northwest, but slight in far east.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls.
GULF OF GUINEA.
In west, Southerly 4 or 5, but 2 or 4 in far north.
In east, Southwest 3 or 4, decreasing 2 or 3 at end.
Severe gusts with thundersqualls.
Slight or moderate.
Poor or very poor vis in thundersqualls, mainly in northwest and in
far east.
POINTE NOIRE.
Southeast 4 or 5 in west, but South or Southwest 2 to 4 in east.
Severe gusts with thundersqualls.
Slight or moderate.
Poor or very poor vis in thundery showers in far northeast.
Part 4 : outlook for next 24 hours
Threat of Southwesterly near gale or gale over north of FINISTERRE,
IROISE, YEU, ROCHEBONNE and CANTABRICO, and threat of Southwest gale
or severe gale over PAZENN.
Persistence of West or Northwest near gale or gale over ROMEO.
Threat of Cyclonic gale to severe gale over west of ALTAIR and
FARADAY.
Threat of Easterly near gale or gale over CADIZ and GIBRALTAR STRAIT.
