WTNT24 KNHC 241457
TCMAT4 1457
TROPICAL STORM HELENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024
1500 UTC TUE SEP 24 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 84.3W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT…….100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 84.3W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 83.7W
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.3N 85.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT…180NE 180SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 21.5N 86.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT…210NE 210SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 23.2N 86.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT… 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT…240NE 210SE 120SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 25.9N 85.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT… 45NE 45SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT… 80NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT…210NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 29.7N 84.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT… 70NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT…180NE 220SE 130SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 33.9N 83.9W…INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 150SE 30SW 30NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 39.7N 86.8W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 84.3W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY…WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4…AT 24/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
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FORECASTER BERG
UUID 510235FE-7A85-11EF-8520-0AFB0B270000 TX 1
