WTNT24 KNHC 232051
TCMAT4 2051
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092024
2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2024
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 82.2W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 82.2W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 81.9W
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.0N 83.0W…TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 19.9N 84.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…140NE 130SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.1N 85.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT…180NE 160SE 80SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.0N 86.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT… 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT…200NE 190SE 110SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 25.4N 85.5W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT… 90NE 90SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT…220NE 210SE 140SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.9N 84.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT… 90NE 100SE 50SW 40NW.
34 KT…200NE 220SE 140SW 130NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 35.5N 84.5W…POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 39.5N 88.5W…POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 82.2W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY…WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4…AT 24/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
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FORECASTER REINHART
UUID 9A3E5B5A-79ED-11EF-ADF9-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
