WTNT23 KNHC 160239
TCMAT3 0239
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082024
0300 UTC MON SEP 16 2024
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 77.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT…….150NE 50SE 0SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 90SE 120SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 77.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 77.8W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 32.8N 78.5W…TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT…150NE 50SE 30SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.6N 79.3W…INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT…130NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.5N 80.0W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.5N 80.7W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.6N 81.0W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 36.5N 80.5W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.2N 77.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY…WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3…AT 16/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
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FORECASTER BLAKE
UUID D874BE60-73D4-11EF-9418-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
