RVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO.
AREA 1:
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FORECAST VALID FROM 152200 TO 162200 UTC:
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METERS. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS, WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
GALE FORCE WARNINGS:
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1. TRISTAN: W to SW 35 in the south-west by mid-period.
SYNOPTIC CHART 12:00Z
=====================
High 1031 hPa 32s08w
High 1035 hPa 38s64e
Low 990 hPa 52s23e
Low 1011 hPa 39s42e
Cold Front: 34s17e 37s24e 47s29e into 52s23e
AREA FORECAST:
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CAPE EAST (32.5S/40S, 20E/50E):
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 over the central parts, otherwise N to NW 15
to 25 reaching 30 in the east at first but W to SW 15 to 25 in
the west. It will become SE to E 05 to 15 in the extreme
south-west by mid-period.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 4.0m in the west, but in the east at first with SW
swell.
DURBAN EAST (32.5S/25S, EAST COAST/55E):
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 over the central parts, otherwise N to NE
15 to 25 reaching 30 over the eastern half, becoming SE to E
10 to 20 in the west by mid-period.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain, except over the central parts.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m over the eastern half, with SW swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : N to NE 05 to 15 but SE 10 to 20 in the south-east, reaching
25 in the north-east.
VIS : Good but moderate in showers and rain in the north.
MADAGASCAR EAST:
WIND : NE 20 to 30 in the south, otherwise SE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in
the north-west.
VIS : Moderate in showers and rain in places, except in the south-
west.
MARION FORTIES EAST (40S/50S, 35E/50E):
WIND : Variable 05 to 10 in the north during the first half of the
period, otherwise W to NW 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south
but N to NE 15 to 25 in the north-east at first.
VIS : Moderate to poor in showers and rain in places.
SEA STATE: 3.0 to 3.5m in the south-west and north-east, with SW swell.
AREA 2:
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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
24/09/15 AT 0500UTC
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE. (WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE).
PART 1: WARNING
NIL
PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 24/09/15 AT 0000UTC
LOW 1010 NEAR 38S/41E WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT (CF) OVER FAR WESTERN WAM, SLOW-MOVING.
HIGH 1032 NEAR 34S/61E, SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD AND BUILDING.
PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 24/09/15 AT 0600UTC TO 24/09/16 AT 0600UTC
