WTNT22 KNHC 120845
TCMAT2 0845
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024
0900 UTC THU SEP 12 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 33.0W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 33.0W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 32.3W
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.1N 34.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.9N 37.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.4N 39.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.7N 41.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.9N 42.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.0N 43.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.7N 45.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 21.2N 47.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 33.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
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FORECASTER PASCH
UUID 6ABAC9B2-70E3-11EF-92B5-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
