WTPZ22 KNHC 210846
TCMEP2 0846
HURRICANE GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024
0900 UTC WED AUG 21 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 122.3W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT……. 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT……. 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT……. 60NE 100SE 120SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 150SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 122.3W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 122.0W
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 16.1N 123.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 30NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT… 60NE 100SE 110SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 16.5N 124.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT… 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 90SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.9N 125.6W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 80SE 80SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.2N 126.7W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 17.5N 128.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.7N 129.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.3N 132.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…100NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.1N 136.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 122.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
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FORECASTER HAGEN/PASCH
UUID E9C9A936-5F99-11EF-9B64-0AFB0B270000 TX 1
