WTPZ22 KNHC 210233
TCMEP2 0233
TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072024
0300 UTC WED AUG 21 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 121.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT……. 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT……. 60NE 100SE 120SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 121.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 121.1W
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.2N 122.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 10NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT… 60NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.6N 123.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT… 70NE 100SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.0N 125.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT… 80NE 90SE 80SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.4N 126.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 80SE 70SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.8N 127.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.2N 128.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 80SE 70SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 131.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT… 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.6N 135.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 121.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
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FORECASTER BUCCI
UUID D63FB06A-5F65-11EF-89C5-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
