VTFQ14 NZCL 152130
EGC 0,1,31,14,01,0
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SUMMARY OF FORECASTS FOR METAREA 14
ALL SHIPS FROM METEO WELLINGTON
FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF NZ LTD AT 152130 UTC
AREA SUBTROPIC
WELLINGTON ISSUED AT 151933UTC VALID UNTIL 161200UTC.
PART 2 – SITUATION ANALYSIS AT 151800UTC:
AREA A1 BOUNDED BY 32S 168E 35S 171E 37S 169E 37S 165E 32S 168E, SLOW
MOVING.
PART 3 – FORECAST:
REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS.
WITHIN A1: POOR VISIBILITY IN SHOWERS WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING BY 160600UTC.
OUTLOOK FOLLOWING 72 HOURS:
SOUTH OF 30S, EAST OF NEW ZEALAND: NORTHWEST 30KT TO GALE DEVELOPING
AFTER 170600UTC. SOUTH OF 32S, WEST OF NEW ZEALAND: NORTHWEST 30KT TO
GALE DEVELOPING AFTER 171800UTC, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 30KT AFTER
181200UTC, AND HEAVY SOUTHWEST SWELL DEVELOPING END OF PERIOD.
AREA FORTIES
WELLINGTON ISSUED AT 151933UTC VALID UNTIL 161200UTC.
PART 2 – SITUATION ANALYSIS AT 151800UTC:
RIDGE R1 45S 170W 47S 175E 51S 156E, MOVING EAST 20KT.
PART 3 – FORECAST:
REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS.
SOUTH OF R1: SOUTHWEST 25KT, WITH GALES AS IN WARNING 277, HEAVY
SOUTHWEST SWELL.
OUTLOOK FOLLOWING 72 HOURS:
LINE EXTENDS EASTNORTHEAST FROM 51S 160E. SOUTH OF LINE: WESTERLY
30KT AT TIMES, AND AREAS OF HEAVY SWELL, ALL EASING BY 180000UTC. LOW
EXPECTED NEAR 42S 177E AT 171800UTC MOVING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST.
NORTHEAST OF LOW: NORTHWEST 30KT TO GALE. SECOND LOW EXPECTED NEAR
42S 172E AT 180600UTC EXTENDING TROUGH NORTHWEST, BOTH MOVING
SOUTHEAST. NORTHEAST OF SECOND LOW: NORTHWEST 30KT TO GALE, AND AREAS
OF HEAVY SWELL. SOUTHWEST OF TROUGH: SOUTHWEST 30KT AT TIMES, AND
AREAS OF HEAVY SWELL DEVELOPING.
AREA PACIFIC
WELLINGTON ISSUED AT 151933UTC VALID UNTIL 161200UTC.
PART 2 – SITUATION ANALYSIS AT 151800UTC:
FRONT F1 25S 147W 34S 136W 46S 134W 55S 132W, MOVING EAST 10KT.
FRONT F2 43S 162W 49S 156W 55S 157W, MOVING EAST 20KT.
PART 3 – FORECAST:
REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS.
WITHIN 480 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF F1 FROM 34S 136W TO 55S 132W:
NORTHERLY QUARTER 25KT, WITH GALES AS IN WARNING 274, POOR VISIBILITY
IN SHOWERS.
WITHIN 600 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF F1 FROM 25S 147W TO 34S 136W: AREAS
OF POOR VISIBILITY IN RAIN WITH POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS.
WITHIN 1080 NAUTICAL MILES WEST OF F1 FROM 25S 147W TO 46S 134W:
WESTERLY QUARTER 25KT AT TIMES, AREAS OF HEAVY WESTERLY SWELL, EASING
BY 161200UTC.
WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF F2 FROM 49S 156W TO 55S 157W:
NORTHERLY 25KT.
WEST OF F2: WESTERLY 25KT, WITH GALES AS IN WARNING 277, HEAVY
SOUTHWEST SWELL.
OUTLOOK FOLLOWING 72 HOURS:
TROUGH ALONG 130W, MOVING EAST. SOUTH OF 36S, EAST OF TROUGH:
NORTHERLY 30KT TO GALE, AND A FEW AREAS OF HEAVY SWELL. LARGE HIGH
NEAR 30S 170W, MOVING SLOWLY EAST. SECOND TROUGH ALONG 149W, MOVING
EAST. HIGH EXTENDS RIDGE ALONG 170W AT 171800UTC, MOVING EAST. SOUTH
OF HIGH, BETWEEN SECOND TROUGH AND RIDGE: WESTERLY 30KT AT TIMES, AND
HEAVY SWELL. SOUTHWEST OF HIGH: NORTHWEST 30KT TO GALE AND AREAS OF
HEAVY SWELL.
AREA SOUTHERN
WELLINGTON ISSUED AT 151933UTC VALID UNTIL 161200UTC.
PART 2 – SITUATION ANALYSIS AT 151800UTC:
AREA A1 BOUNDED BY 64S 120W 68S 120W 66S 146W 61S 145W 64S 120W,
MOVING SOUTH 10KT.
FRONT F1 55S 133W 59S 125W 65S 120W, MOVING EAST 5KT.
FRONT F2 55S 156W 61S 151W 68S 152W, MOVING EAST 10KT.
AREA A2 BOUNDED BY 65S 150E 59S 150E 60S 163E 60S 158W 65S 156W 65S
150E, MOVING EAST 10KT.
PART 3 – FORECAST:
REFER TO LATEST WARNINGS.
WITHIN A1: MODERATE ICE ACCRETION, CLEARING BY 160600UTC.
WITHIN 420 NAUTICAL MILES WEST OF F1: AREAS OF FOG, HEAVY SWELL.
WITHIN 360 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF F1: NORTHERLY QUARTER 25KT AT
TIMES, WITH GALES AS IN WARNING 274, AREAS OF FOG, HEAVY SWELL.
WITHIN 300 NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF F2: NORTHERLY 25KT, WITH GALES AS
IN WARNINGS 275 276, AREAS OF FOG.
WEST OF F2 FROM 55S 156W TO 61S 151W: SOUTHWEST QUARTER 25KT AT
TIMES, WITH GALES AS IN WARNING 277, AREAS OF HEAVY SOUTHWEST SWELL.
WITHIN A2: HEAVY ICE ACCRETION AS IN WARNING 278.
SOUTHERN ICE EDGE BETWEEN 160E AND 120W ISSUED 15 AUG 2024 UTC
61.9S,160.0E 62.6S,170.0E 63.8S,180.0
62.5S,170.0W 62.4S,160.0W 60.5S,150.0W
64.7S,140.0W 66.2S,130.0W 66.7S,120.0W
ICE EDGE NOT FOR NAVIGATIONAL PURPOSES.
ENDS
