WTPZ25 KNHC 070846
TCMEP5 0846
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052024
0900 UTC WED AUG 07 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 116.4W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT……. 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT……. 80NE 120SE 110SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 210SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 116.4W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 116.0W
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.9N 117.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT… 80NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.6N 120.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT… 90NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.4N 123.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 80NE 50SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.1N 125.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.7N 127.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.3N 129.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 24.2N 133.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 24.5N 137.6W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 116.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
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FORECASTER BUCCI
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