WTPZ25 KNHC 072035
TCMEP5 2035
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052024
2100 UTC WED AUG 07 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 117.7W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT……. 60NE 60SE 50SW 30NW.
34 KT…….100NE 100SE 100SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 280SE 120SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 117.7W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 117.0W
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N 119.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT…100NE 100SE 90SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 90SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 22.2N 125.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 22.8N 127.3W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 23.4N 129.5W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 23.9N 131.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.9N 135.2W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT…GUSTS 30 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 117.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
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FORECASTER PASCH
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