WTPZ25 KNHC 070249
TCMEP5 0249
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052024
0300 UTC WED AUG 07 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.5W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT……. 40NE 60SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT……. 80NE 120SE 110SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 180SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 115.5W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 115.2W
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.4N 116.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
34 KT… 80NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.3N 118.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT… 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT… 80NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 21.4N 123.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 22.1N 126.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.7N 128.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 23.7N 132.6W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 24.5N 136.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 115.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
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FORECASTER HAGEN/BEVEN
UUID AEE0145A-5467-11EF-94CD-0AFB0B270000 TX 1
