WTPZ25 KNHC 050858
TCMEP5 0858
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052024
0900 UTC MON AUG 05 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 114.1W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 200 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT……. 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 114.1W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 114.0W
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.3N 114.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 30NE 40SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.3N 114.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 0NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT… 50NE 60SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.3N 115.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT…100NE 100SE 100SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.4N 116.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT…130NE 130SE 90SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.9N 118.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT…130NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.3N 120.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 21.6N 125.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 70NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 23.1N 131.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 114.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
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FORECASTER BUCCI
UUID EF1AABB2-5308-11EF-826E-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
