WTPZ23 KNHC 032041
TCMEP3 2041
HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
2100 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 120.9W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT……. 20NE 0SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT……. 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT……. 80NE 50SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 75SE 75SW 110NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 120.9W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 120.4W
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.4N 122.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 0SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.1N 124.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 126.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.1N 127.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.4N 129.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 0SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.7N 130.9W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.7N 133.7W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z…DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 120.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
¤¤
FORECASTER HAGEN/PAPIN
UUID D614EC9E-51D8-11EF-9312-0AFB0B270000 TX 1
