WTPZ23 KNHC 040841
TCMEP3 0841
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
0900 UTC SUN AUG 04 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 123.0W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT……. 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT……. 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 123.0W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 122.4W
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.2N 124.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.7N 126.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.2N 127.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.5N 129.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.6N 130.8W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 21.7N 132.3W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLO
