WTPZ23 KNHC 030246
TCMEP3 0246
HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
0300 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 117.9W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT……. 10NE 5SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT……. 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT……. 70NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 117.9W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 117.3W
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 119.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 121.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.8N 123.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT… 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 125.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.8N 127.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.2N 129.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N 132.3W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.2N 135.4W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT…GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
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FORECASTER BUCCI
UUID AAB34FB4-5142-11EF-8165-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
