WTPZ23 KNHC 021432
TCMEP3 1432
HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
1500 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 115.2W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT……. 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT……. 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT……. 70NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 115.2W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 114.6W
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.9N 117.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.3N 119.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT… 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 121.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.9N 123.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 125.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.8N 127.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT… 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.6N 130.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 22.0N 134.0W…POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 115.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
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FORECASTER PAPIN
UUID 1B901210-50DC-11EF-8121-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
