FZPN02 KWBC 022325
HSFEPI 2345
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
[email protected](LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 04.
.WARNINGS.
…GALE WARNING…
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 47N152W 1007 MB MOVING NW 10 KT AND
SECOND LOW 39N154W 1003 MB MOVING NE TO N TO NW 25 KT. WITHIN 240
NM N SEMICIRCLE OF FIRST LOW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF FIRST LOW AND 420 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE OF SECOND LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 47N155W 1005 MB AND
SECOND LOW 42N151W 1002 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE FROM
SECOND LOW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 48N157W 1002 MB. WITHIN 420 NM NE
QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 42N
TO 56N BETWEEN 142W AND 164W…AND FROM 43N TO 52N W OF 174W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N161W 999 MB. FROM 40N TO 55N BETWEEN
154W AND 160W…AND FROM 37N TO 47N BETWEEN 162W AND 172E WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT…HIGHEST NEAR 51N158W. ELSEWHERE
FROM 40N TO 56N BETWEEN 141W AND 170W…AND FROM 36N TO 48N W OF
170W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW NW OF AREA 60N179W 1005 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. FROM 51N TO 62N
BETWEEN 164W AND 175W…AND WITHIN 420 NM NW OF A LINE FROM
44N166E TO 52N175W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA 62N178W 1004 MB. WITHIN 540 NM E
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA AND NEW LOW NW OF AREA 62N179E
993 MB. N OF 58N BETWEEN 161W AND 170W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA 63N180W 990 MB. N OF 55N BETWEEN
160W AND 172W…AND N OF 54N W OF 176E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
12 FT.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 50N127W 1018 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 360 NM NW QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WITHIN 240 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
46N130W TO 57N139W AREA OF NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 300 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 47N131W TO
57N140W AREA OF NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.FROM 38N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W AREA OF NW WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W AREA OF
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 37N141W 1017 MB MOVING N 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 37N164W 1008 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. FROM 33N TO 43N BETWEEN
164W AND 180W…AND FROM 40N TO 47N BETWEEN 155W AND 170W WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT…HIGHEST NEAR 38N173W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N155W 1012 MB. FROM 31N TO 40N BETWEEN
150W AND 165W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF
37N BETWEEN 167W AND 179E AREA OF NE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N150W 1014 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.S OF 39N W OF 177E AREA OF E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 36N W OF 175E AREA OF E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM NW AND W OF A LINE
FROM 41N160E TO 42N180W TO 46N173W TO 63N168W…AND FROM 45N TO
49N BETWEEN 147W AND 153W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 43N W OF 168W…AND FROM 44N TO
53N BETWEEN 145W AND 162W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 41N TO 51N W OF 168W…N OF 51N
BETWEEN 170W AND 175W…AND FROM 44N TO 56N BETWEEN 143W AND
151W.
.FORECASTER ANDERSON. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 4.
.WARNINGS.
…HURRICANE WARNING…
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.7N 116.4W 981 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 02
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE…50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 23 FT AND WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 21N113W TO
22N115W TO 21N117W TO 17N118W TO 16N117W TO 16N114W TO 21N113W
WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SEAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.2N 120.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE…50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 20N118W TO 21N121W TO 21N122W TO
19N123W TO 17N121W TO 18N119W TO 20N118W WITH SEAS TO 26 FT AND
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 20N117W TO 23N121W TO 19N124W TO
14N122W
TO 17N121W TO 14N120W TO 20N117W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 20.1N 124.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 22N122W TO 24N126W TO 20N129W TO 16N128W TO
15N122W TO 19N121W TO 22N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 21N123W
TO 22N125W TO 21N126W TO 19N126W TO 19N123W TO 21N123W WINDS
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W…INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC… N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1800 UTC FRI AUG 2…
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA…NUMEROUS STRONG AND SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 75 NM OF THE CENTER.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR
10N86W
TO 12N106W. THE TROUGH CONTINUES NEAR 14N117W TO 10N140W.
SCATTERED
MODERATE TO LOCAL STRONG FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND
117W…AND
FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W.
.FORECASTER LANDSEA/ADAMS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 02 2024.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 03 2024.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 04 2024.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW NEAR 10N143W 1012MB MOVING WSW 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE
TSTMS
WITHIN 150 NM OF LOW.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N151W 1012 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 08N154W 1011 MB.
.TROUGH 23N171E 20N165E MOVING W SLOWLY. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS
WITHIN 300 NM E OF TROUGH…AND FROM 16N TO 22N W OF 165E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 24N163E 17N165E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 25N164E 25N160E.
.TROUGH 08N164W 10N160E MOVING N SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 13N165E 12N160E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED W OF AREA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 30N173W 30N177W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 30N169W 27N176W 26N176E.
.WINDS E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT N OF 26N BETWEEN 178E AND 165E…AND
FROM 11N TO 15N E OF 145W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 22N BETWEEN 175E AND
163E…AND FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 141W AND 152W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT N OF 25N W OF 168E…AND FROM
08N TO 13N BETWEEN 149W AND 161W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 10 FT N OF 24N BETWEEN 171E AND 164E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT FROM 26N TO 28N W OF 166E.
.SEAS 8 FT OR LOWER REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 10N140W 10N143W 06N147W THENCE ITCZ 08N159W
08N174W
06N178W 07N174E. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 03N TO 08N W OF
171W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN 178W AND 172E.
¤¤
.FORECASTER TSAMOUS. HONOLULU HI.
UUID 75018CEE-5126-11EF-9E38-0AFB0B260000 TX 1