WTPZ23 KNHC 020846
TCMEP3 0846
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
0900 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 113.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT……. 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT……. 70NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 113.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 113.3W
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.6N 115.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT… 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.9N 117.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 30SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 120.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.4N 122.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.7N 124.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT… 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.2N 126.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 21.5N 132.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 113.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
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FORECASTER REINHART
UUID AFE699F6-50AB-11EF-8106-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
