WTPZ23 KNHC 022037
TCMEP3 2037
HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
2100 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 116.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT……. 10NE 5SE 5SW 10NW.
50 KT……. 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT……. 70NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 116.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 115.8W
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.0N 118.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.2N 120.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.6N 122.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.1N 124.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 126.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
34 KT… 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.0N 128.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT…GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 131.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 22.5N 135.0W…POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT…GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 116.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
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FORECASTER PAPIN
UUID 08A6E1A0-510F-11EF-813E-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
