FZPN02 KWBC 021725
HSFEPI 1745
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
[email protected](LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 04.
.WARNINGS.
…GALE WARNING…
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 46N150W 1007 MB MOVING NW 15 KT AND
SECOND LOW 38N156W 1014 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. WITHIN 300 NM N
SEMICIRCLE OF FIRST LOW AND 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF SECOND LOW
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 47N152W 1006 MB AND
SECOND LOW 39N154W 1002 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE QUADRANTS OF
FIRST LOW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 47N158W 1003 MB AND
SECOND LOW 48N153W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF SECOND
LOW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM W
SEMICIRCLE OF FIRST LOW…420 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF SECOND LOW…AND
FROM 38N TO 48N BETWEEN 142W AND 153W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 49N162W 999 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E
SEMICIRCLE…WITHIN 240 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 50N145W TO
56N160W…AND FROM 39N TO 49N BETWEEN 160W AND 160E WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 40N166W 1011 MB MOVING SE 15 KT. WITHIN 360 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 660 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE AND FROM 40N TO 50N BETWEEN 154W AND 170W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 36N159W 1011 MB. S OF 38N BETWEEN 150W AND
179W…AND FROM 45N TO 54N W OF 178E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 42N151W 1012 MB. WITHIN 180 NM E
SEMICIRCLE…AND N OF 55N E OF 179E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8
FT.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW NW OF AREA 59N177E 1005 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. FROM 52N TO 59N
BETWEEN 167W AND 176W…AND WITHIN 420 NM NW OF A LINE FROM
47N170E TO 52N176W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 61N175W 1006 MB. N OF 53N BETWEEN 161W AND
171W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW N OF AREA AND NEW LOW NW OF AREA 62N176E
990 MB. N OF 58N BETWEEN 162W AND 173W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA 64N177E 987 MB. N OF 60N BETWEEN
165W AND 172W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF
56N BETWEEN 158W AND 174W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 49N127W 1018 MB NEARLY STATIONARY. WITHIN 360 NM NW QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM
47N128W TO 56N138W AREA OF NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 240 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 46N129W TO
57N140W AREA OF NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.FROM 38N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W AREA OF NW WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 38N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 126W AREA OF
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 37N142W 1014 MB MOVING N 15 KT. WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.S OF 39N W OF 175E AREA OF E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 40N W OF 170E AREA OF E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM N AND NW OF A LINE
FROM 42N160E TO 42N175E TO 45N174W TO 59N174W…AND FROM 44N TO
48N BETWEEN 145W AND 151W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 56N W OF 168W…FROM 56N
TO 63N BETWEEN 169W AND 173W…AND FROM 47N TO 53N BETWEEN 146W
AND 160W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 42N TO 53N W OF 170W…N OF 53N
BETWEEN 170W AND 177W…FROM 51N TO 54N BETWEEN 165W AND
168W…AND WITHIN 180 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 45N146W TO 51N149W TO
54N154W.
.FORECASTER ANDERSON. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 4.
.WARNINGS.
…HURRICANE WARNING…
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.6N 115.2W 983 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 02
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE…50
NM
SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120
NM N SEMICIRCLE…60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS
TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N111W TO 21N112W TO 20N115W TO
18N115W
TO 17N114W TO 17N112W TO 19N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N112W TO 20N116W TO 17N117W TO 15N114W
TO
15N112W TO 18N111W TO 21N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.3N 119.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE.SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 135 NM NE QUADRANT…90 NM SE QUADRANT…75 NM SW
QUADRANT…AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 20N116W TO 21N117W TO 21N119W TO 20N120W TO 17N119W TO
17N117W TO 20N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF
AREA WITHIN 12N115W TO 13N116W TO 11N117W TO 11N116W TO 10N113W
TO
11N113W TO 12N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.9N 123.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN
60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE…AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO
21
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N120W TO 22N123W TO 21N124W TO 18N123W TO
18N121W TO 18N120W TO 21N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N116W TO 23N122W TO 20N127W TO 12N120W
TO
12N112W TO 16N118W TO 19N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED
WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE AND
INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC…N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI AUG 2…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA…NUMEROUS STRONG AND SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER, AND SCATTERED
STRONG
AND ISOLATED CONVECTION IS OCCURRING OUT TO 300 NM OF THE CENTER.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF COSTA RICA NEAR
10N86W
TO 11N107. THE TROUGH CONTINUES NEAR 14N117W TO 11N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM
08N-
15N BETWEEN 88W-125W AND AGAIN FROM 08N-11N WEST OF 137W.
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E
SYNOP
