FZPN02 KWBC 021125
HSFEPI 1145
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC FRI AUG 02 2024
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
[email protected](LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 04.
.WARNINGS.
…GALE WARNING…
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 38N159W 1005 MB MOVING NE 20 KT AND
SECOND LOW 43N168W 1012 MB MOVING SE 20 KT. FROM 33N TO 40N
BETWEEN 152W AND 165W…AND FROM 36N TO 48N BETWEEN 165W AND 179W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW WITH FIRST LOW 41N152W 1002 MB AND SECOND
LOW 36N162W 1006 MB. WITHIN 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 45N151W 1003 MB AND
SECOND LOW 36N159W 1008 MB. FROM 37N TO 50N BETWEEN 144W AND 152W
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 40N
BETWEEN 152W AND 180W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW ABSORBED BY LOW
48N161W DESCRIBED BELOW AND SECOND LOW 52N151W 1010 MB. FROM 34N
TO 45N BETWEEN 144W AND 155W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 44N149W 1008 MB MOVING NW 20 KT. FROM 44N TO 50N BETWEEN
140W AND 155W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N152W 1005 MB. FROM 45N TO 52N BETWEEN
142W AND 159W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N157W 1004 MB. EXCEPT WHERE DESCRIBED
WITH LOW 45N151W ABOVE…FROM 44N TO 53N BETWEEN 145W AND 162W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N161W 1000 MB. FROM 45N TO 57N BETWEEN
145W AND 165W…FROM 41N TO 49N BETWEEN 160W AND 180W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 59N175E 1005 MB MOVING E 10 KT. WITHIN 420
NM NW AND N OF A LINE FROM 45N162E TO 54N170W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 59N179W 1005 MB. FROM 45N TO 52N W OF
170W…AND FROM 50N TO 64N BETWEEN 162W AND 170W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 63N178W 990 MB. N OF 56N
BETWEEN ALASKA AND 175W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 41N TO 49N BETWEEN 170W AND 160E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW 37N143W 1014 MB MOVING N 15 KT. FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN 138W
AND 144W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.W OF A LINE FROM 30N180W TO 45N165E AREA OF SE WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 30N173E TO 40N160E AREA OF SE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 30N172E TO 39N160E AREA OF SE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST E AND N OF A LINE FROM 46N130W TO 54N135W WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 31N17W 1015 MB. FROM 30N TO 33N BETWEEN
168W AND 180W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM W OF A LINE FROM
42N160E TO 44N178W TO 52N177W TO 59N180W…AND FROM 43N TO 47N
BETWEEN 145W AND 149W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 51N BETWEEN 143W AND
154W…AND W OF A LINE FROM 42N160E TO 46N175W TO 50N170W TO
61N170W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 52N W OF 171W…FROM 52N
TO 63N BETWEEN 169W AND 176W…FROM 49N TO 54N BETWEEN 162W AND
166W…AND WITHIN 120 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 54N154W TO 50N148W TO
45N145W.
.FORECASTER EHRBAR. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 4.
.WARNINGS.
…HURRICANE WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.2N 113.8W 991 MB AT 0900 UTC
AUG 02 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE…50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE…60 NM SE QUADRANT AND
75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 19N111W TO 21N112W TO 20N115W TO 18N115W TO 17N114W TO
17N112W TO 19N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 21N112W TO 20N116W TO 17N117W TO 15N114W TO
15N112W TO 18N111W TO 21N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.6N 115.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE…50 NM SE QUADRANT…AND 45 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT
…75 NM S SEMICIRCLE…AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N114W TO 21N115W TO 21N117W TO 19N118W TO
17N117W TO 17N114W TO 20N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 21N114W TO 22N117W TO 19N119W TO
15N117W TO 15N115W TO 18N113W TO 21N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.9N 117.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE…60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM NE QUADRANT…90
NM SE QUADRANT…75 NM SW QUADRANT…AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N116W TO 21N117W TO 21N119W TO
20N120W TO 17N119W TO 17N117W TO 20N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N115W TO 13N116W TO
11N117W TO 11N116W TO 10N113W TO 11N113W TO 12N115W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 19.4N 122.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE…AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N120W TO 22N123W TO 21N124W TO
18N123W TO 18N121W TO 18N120W TO 21N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N116W TO 23N122W TO
20N127W TO 12N120W TO 12N112W TO 16N118W TO 19N116W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.WITHIN 16N94W TO 16N95W TO 15N96W TO 14N96W TO 14N95W TO 15N94W
TO 16N94W…INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC…N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST BROAD LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N127.5W 1008 MB.
WITHIN 14N128W TO 15N130W TO 14N131W TO 13N130W TO 13N128W TO
14N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST BROAD LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N128W 1008 MB. WITHIN
14N130W TO 15N133W TO 14N133W TO 13N132W TO 13N130W TO 14N129W TO
14N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST BROAD LOW PRES 13N130W 1010 MB. WITHIN 19N138W
TO 20N139W TO 20N140W TO 14N140W TO 15N138W TO 17N139W TO
19N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0750 UTC FRI AUG 2…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA…NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN
210 NM NE QUADRANT…120 NM SE QUADRANT…AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE.
.LOW PRES…EP95…NEAR 13N127W…NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 13N108W THEN RESUMES SW OF
CARLOTTA NEAR 14N115W TO LOW PRES…EP95…NEAR 13N127W TO
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 13N
BETWEEN 84W AND 99W…FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 92W AND 101W…FROM
07N TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 122W…AND FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN
130W AND 140W.
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 02 2024.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 03 2024.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 04 2024.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N144W 27N151W MOVING NE 10 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED N OF AREA.
.TROUGH 14N170E 10N165E 07N160E MOVING NW SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 18N170E 10N160E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 19N168E 10N160E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 25N170E 22N164E 25N160E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 30N172W 28N180W.
.WINDS E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT N OF 25N BETWEEN 170E AND 180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF A LINE 24N175E 24N166E
30N160E… AND FROM 10N TO 15N E OF 150W.
