FZPN02 KWBC 012325
HSFEPI 2345
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2345 UTC THU AUG 01 2024
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
[email protected](LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 03.
.WARNINGS.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 41N164W 1012 MB MOVING E 20 KT AND MOVING NE AFTER 18
HOURS. WITHIN 240 NM W AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS
TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N153W 1002 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 300
NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N158W 1002 MB. WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 51N171W 1010 MB MOVING SE 35 KT. WITHIN 420 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 37N164W 1008 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW 36N160W 1011 MB.
WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANT…AND FROM 32N TO 36N BETWEEN 164W AND
178W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 42N151W 1011 MB MOVING N 10 KT. WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N152W 1006 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND 240
NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 48N158W
DESCRIBED ABOVE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.W AND NW OF A LINE FROM 42N164E TO 52N177E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW NEAR 59N179W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E
OF A LINE FROM 60N173W TO 52N173W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 60N178W 999 MB. WITHIN 300 NM E OF A
LINE FROM 64N171W TO 55N171W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8
FT…EXCEPT E OF A LINE FROM 59N162W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.LOW 35N144W 1013 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 300
NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N143W 1014 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.WITHIN 360 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 30N171E TO 39N160E AREA OF SE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 40N164E TO 32N175E AREA OF SE
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST W OF A LINE FROM 37N160E TO 30N174E WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 35N TO 43N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W AREA OF
N WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM W OF A LINE FROM
57N175E TO 45N166W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 62N W OF 169W…AND FROM
43N TO 50N BETWEEN 143W AND 155W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 43N W OF 167W…AND FROM 45N TO
54N BETWEEN 141W AND 161W.
.FORECASTER ROWLAND. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 3.
.WARNINGS.
…HURRICANE WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.5N 111.9W 993 MB AT 2100 UTC
AUG 01 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW
AND SE QUADRANTS…50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N108W TO
20N110W TO 18N113W TO 16N113W TO 15N111W TO 16N109W TO 18N108W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.9N 113.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.2N 115.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT…60 NM SE QUADRANT…50 NM SW
QUADRANT…AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM NE QUADRANT…90 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N112W TO 21N116W TO
19N119W TO 16N119W TO 15N114W TO 17N112W TO 20N112W WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.6N 120.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N118W TO 21N120W TO 19N122W TO
16N121W TO 16N119W TO 17N117W TO 20N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 18N114W TO 22N117W
TO 23N122W TO 16N126W TO 13N122W TO 14N116W TO 18N114W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE AND
INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N111W TO 12N112W TO 11N112W TO
11N111W TO 11N110W TO 12N111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N109W TO 13N112W TO 13N113W TO
11N113W TO 10N111W TO 11N109W TO 13N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N92W TO 12N93W TO 11N93W TO 10N93W TO
10N92W TO 11N92W TO 12N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N93W TO 12N95W TO 11N95W TO 10N95W TO
10N93W TO 12N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N93W TO 14N99W TO 09N98W TO 08N96W TO
10N95W TO 10N93W TO 12N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
IN S TO SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU AUG 1…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA…SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N
TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 126W…SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 16N
BETWEEN 124W AND 132W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 12N100W…THEN RESUMES NEAR
13N115W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 06N TO 13N
AND E OF 111W…AND FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 115W AND 138W.
¤¤
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E
SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC AUG 01 2024.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 02 2024.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC AUG 03 2024.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N145W 26N151W MOVING NE SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED NE OF AREA.
.WINDS E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT N OF 25N BETWEEN 170E AND 180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 24N BETWEEN 165E
AND 180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 23N W OF 175E…AND
FROM 10N TO 20N E OF 155W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF LINE 30N170E 27N177E 29N179E 30N178E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 30N168E 26N175E 26N177E 30N174E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 30N162E 26N166E 24N175E 27N174E
30N169E.
.SEAS 8 FT OR LOWER REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 11N140W 10N146W THENCE ITCZ 10N150W 07N165W
09N175E. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 210 NM OF EITHER SIDE OF
ITCZ BETWEEN 165W AND 155W…AND BETWEEN 180W AND 175E.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS N OF 15N BETWEEN 180W AND 168E.
¤¤
.FORECASTER PECHACEK. HONOLULU HI.
UUID 4AB08400-505D-11EF-B9F1-0AFB0B270000 TX 1