WTPZ23 KNHC 011446
TCMEP3 1446
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
1500 UTC THU AUG 01 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.0W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT……. 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT……. 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 111.0W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 110.5W
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 17.9N 112.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.2N 114.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT… 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.3N 117.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.4N 119.2W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT… 25NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT… 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.6N 121.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N 122.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 19.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT… 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 20.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT… 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 111.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
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FORECASTER PAPIN
UUID EB781086-5014-11EF-91F1-0AFB0B270000 TX 1
