WTPZ23 KNHC 010835
TCMEP3 0835
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
0900 UTC THU AUG 01 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 109.9W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT……. 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT……. 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 109.9W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 109.4W
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.6N 111.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT… 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
34 KT… 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.9N 113.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.1N 115.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.2N 118.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.3N 120.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 121.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 19.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 19.5N 126.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT…GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 10SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 109.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
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FORECASTER REINHART
UUID FF4FBA34-4FE0-11EF-808B-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
