FZPN02 KWBC 011725
HSFEPI 1745
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1745 UTC THU AUG 01 2024
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
[email protected](LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 03.
.WARNINGS.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 54N174W 1009 MB MOVING SE 35 KT. WITHIN 420 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N164W 1007 MB. WITHIN 480 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 37N158W 1010 MB AND
SECOND LOW 35N165W 1012 MB. WITHIN 660 NM W QUADRANT OF SECOND
LOW AND 300 NM S AND SW QUADRANTS OF FIRST LOW WINDS TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 12 FT.
…GALE WARNING…
.LOW 44N167W 1017 MB MOVING SE 20 KT AND MOVING NE AFTER 24
HOURS. WITHIN 300 NM W AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 10 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW 41N164W 1012 MB. WITHIN 240 NM W AND NW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 38N156W 1003 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SW QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N154W 1003 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.N OF 46N W OF 173E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW W OF AREA NEAR 59N176E 1006 MB. WITHIN
600 NM S QUADRANT WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 60N178W 1003 MB. N OF 54N BETWEEN
164W AND 171W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.LOW 34N144W 1013 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 300
NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 40N143W 1014 MB. WITHIN 420 NM SE QUADRANT
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.WITHIN 360 NM NE OF A LINE FROM 30N171E TO 37N160E AREA OF SE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE OF A LINE FROM 30N173E
TO 32N163E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 46N150W 1007 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND
NE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 48N154W
DESCRIBED ABOVE IN WARNINGS SECTION.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 33N TO 42N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 42N TO 56N W
OF 168W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG W OF A LINE FROM 43N TO 59N W OF
171W…AND FROM 43N TO 50N BETWEEN 143W AND 151W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 57N W OF 169W…AND FROM
56N TO 64N BETWEEN 169W AND 178W…AND FROM 47N TO 54N BETWEEN
143W AND 160W.
.FORECASTER ROWLAND. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 3.
.WARNINGS.
…HURRICANE WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.2N 111.0W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC
AUG 01 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW
AND SE QUADRANTS…50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS…90 NM
NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 18N108W TO 19N109W TO 19N111W TO 18N112W TO 16N112W TO
16N109W TO 18N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.9N 112.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.2N 114.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT…60 NM SE QUADRANT…50 NM SW
QUADRANT…AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT…60 NM S SEMICIRCLE…AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N112W TO 21N113W
TO 20N115W TO 18N117W TO 17N116W TO 16N113W TO 19N112W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.4N 119.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 20N117W TO 20N120W TO 18N121W TO 16N120W TO 16N118W TO
17N116W TO 20N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER
OF AREA WITHIN 18N114W TO 23N118W TO 22N123W TO 18N124W TO
13N121W
TO 14N116W TO 18N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E
SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N91W TO 13N93W TO 12N94W TO 10N94W TO
10N92W TO 11N91W TO 12N91W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN S
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N93W TO 13N95W TO 12N98W TO 09N97W TO
09N95W TO 10N93W TO 11N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
IN S TO SW SWELL.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU AUG 1…
.T.S. CARLOTTA…SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM
14N
TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W…SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 15N
BETWEEN 124W AND 131W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 12N105W…THEN RESUMES NEAR
13N116W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03N TO 09N
AND E OF 105W…AND FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 116W AND 123W.
¤¤
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E
SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC AUG 01 2024.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 02 2024.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC AUG 03 2024.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.TROUGH 30N147W 28N151W MOVING NE SLOWLY.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVED NE OF AREA.
.WINDS E TO SE 20 TO 25 KT N OF LINE 30N169E 28N179E 27N178W
30N179W…AND N OF 29N BETWEEN 145W AND 143W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF LINE 30N165E 24N177E
28N179E 30N177E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF LINE 28N160E 23N169E
24N176E 30N171E…AND FROM 10N TO 17N E OF 153W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF LINE 30N170E 27N177E 29N179E 30N178E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 30N168E 26N175E 26N177E 30N174E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 30N162E 26N166E 24N175E 27N174E
30N169E.
.SEAS 8 FT OR LOWER REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 11N140W 10N144W THENCE ITCZ 08N160W 07N170W
09N179E. SCATTERED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 210 NM OF EITHER SIDE OF
ITCZ BETWEEN 175W AND 155W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS N OF 16N BETWEEN 168E AND 164W…AND FROM
13N TO 20N W OF 165E.
¤¤
.FORECASTER PIERCE. HONOLULU HI.
UUID 00A751F4-502B-11EF-B9BE-0AFB0B270000 TX 1
