FZPN02 KWBC 011125
HSFEPI 1145
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1145 UTC THU AUG 01 2024
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
[email protected](LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC AUG 03.
.WARNINGS.
…GALE WARNING…
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 41N161W 1018 MB MOVING SE 10 KT AND
SECOND LOW 55N178E 1008 MB MOVING SE 35 KT. FROM 45N TO 56N
BETWEEN 169W AND 170E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 38N157W 1005 MB. FROM 33N TO 40N
BETWEEN 152W AND 175W…AND FROM 40N TO 48N BETWEEN 166W AND 179W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N152W 1002 MB. WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N TO 54N
BETWEEN 144W AND 162W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.LOW W OF AREA NEAR 51N155E 1006 MB MOVING NE 35 KT. FROM 45N TO
55N W OF 180W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH NEW LOW TO FORM NW OF AREA
NEAR 58N173E 1006 MB. FROM 47N TO 56N W OF 180W…AND FROM 51N TO
58N BETWEEN 169W AND 174W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 59N180W 1005 MB. FROM 45N
TO 53N W OF 172W…AND FROM 50N TO 64N BETWEEN 162W AND 170W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 61N150W 1012 MB DRIFTING SE AND
SECOND LOW 58N139W 1014 MB DRIFTING SE. WITHIN 540 NM S
SEMICIRCLE OF FIRST LOW WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.N OF 62N W OF ALASKA AREA OF SW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 34N145W 1013 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN
140W AND 145W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 39N143W 1012 MB. FROM 30N TO 40N BETWEEN
138W AND 143W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.W OF A LINE FROM 30N180W TO 40N170E AREA OF SE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW W OF AREA NEAR 38N152E 1002 MB. W OF A
LINE FROM 30N180W TO 46N165E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 39N151E 1004 MB. W OF A LINE
FROM 30N173E TO 40N160E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 33N166W 1012 MB. FROM 31N TO 40N
BETWEEN 155W AND 180W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 45N148W 1010 MB. FROM 43N TO 50N
BETWEEN 140W AND 160W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 46N152W
DESCRIBED IN WARNINGS SECTION ABOVE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 32N TO 40N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 43N TO 56N W OF
171W…AND FROM 61N TO 63N BETWEEN 169W AND 174W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG W OF A LINE FROM 43N160E TO 46N173W
TO 56N177W TO 59N178W…AND FROM 43N TO 48N BETWEEN 145W AND
149W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 45N TO 52N BETWEEN 145W AND
155W…AND W OF A LINE FROM 42N160E TO 48N170W TO 62N170W.
.FORECASTER EHRBAR. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 03.
.WARNINGS.
…HURRICANE WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 17.0N 109.9W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC
AUG 01 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW
AND SE QUADRANTS…50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE…60 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120
NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.6N 111.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.9N 113.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT…50 NM SE QUADRANT…40 NM SW
QUADRANT…AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.2N 118.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER…EXCEPT 240 NM
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 13N TO 23N BETWEEN 113W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0915 UTC AUG 01…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA…NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE…150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW
QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 19N108W AND OF
19N107W.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 125W FROM 07N TO 18N WITH A 1009 MB LOW
NEAR 14N. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 13N TO 15N BETWEEN 124W AND
127W.
.NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 88W AND 93W.
.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 08N BETWEEN
82W AND 83W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 10N92W TO 11N103W. IT
RESUMES SOUTHWEST OF CARLOTTA NEAR 15N112W TO LOW PRES NEAR
14N125W 1009 MB TO 12N129W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N138W 1012 MB AND
TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG N OF TROUGH FROM 11N TO
15N BETWEEN 93W AND 103W AND FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 107W AND
110W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN
114W AND 121W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 94W AND 96W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 131W AND
135W.
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E
SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC AUG 01 2024.
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