WTPZ23 KNHC 312041
TCMEP3 2041
TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
2100 UTC WED JUL 31 2024
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 108.0W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT……. 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 108.0W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 107.7W
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.8N 109.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT… 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.3N 111.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.7N 113.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT… 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.8N 116.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT… 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT… 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N 118.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT… 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW.
34 KT…100NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.8N 120.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT…GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT… 45NE 35SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT…100NE 90SE 90SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.3N 122.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT… 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT… 80NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.3N 124.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT…GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
34 KT… 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 108.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
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FORECASTER PAPIN
UUID 55C76524-4F7D-11EF-8044-0AFB0B260000 TX 1
