FZPN02 KWBC 010525
HSFEPI 0545
HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA XII
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0545 UTC THU AUG 01 2024
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS
SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT…WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.
ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT
[email protected](LOWERCASE).
FOR ANY TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BEYOND 48 HOURS REFERENCE
THE ASSOCIATED NWS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY (TCM).
SECURITE
PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT
TO 50N 160E
ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 03.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 42N163W 1022 MB MOVING SE 15 KT AND
SECOND LOW 56N178E 1008 MB MOVING SE 25 KT. FROM 45N TO 56N
BETWEEN 170W AND 170E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH FIRST LOW 39N156W 1008 MB AND
SECOND LOW 46N169W 1009 MB. FROM 33N TO 40N BETWEEN 154W AND
175W…AND FROM 40N TO 53N BETWEEN 167W AND 180W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 39N153W 1003 MB. FROM 31N TO 41N
BETWEEN 146W AND 180W…AND FROM 41N TO 45N BETWEEN 145W AND 164W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.LOW W OF AREA NEAR 50N155E 1004 MB MOVING NE 25 KT. N OF 40N W
OF 170E…AND W OF A LINE FROM 40N170E TO 34N180W TO 30N180W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED WITH NEW LOW TO FORM NW OF AREA
NEAR 58N168W 1005 MB. FROM 48N TO 56N W OF 180W…AND FROM 40N TO
48N W OF 170E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NW OF AREA NEAR 59N177W 1006 MB. FROM 45N
TO 54N W OF 174W…AND FROM 48N TO 61N BETWEEN 163W AND 172W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN LOW 60N150W 1013 MB DRIFTING SE AND SECOND
LOW 57N140W 1012 MB DRIFTING SE. WITHIN 600 NM S AND 420 NM SW
QUADRANTS OF MAIN LOW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED AND CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.N OF 62N W OF ALASKA AREA OF SW WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 62N BETWEEN ALASKA AND 170W AREA OF SW
WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.
.LOW 33N147W 1013 MB MOVING NE 10 KT. FROM 30N TO 37N BETWEEN
140W AND 145W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 37N143W 1011 MB. FROM 30N TO 38N BETWEEN
138W AND 145W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED. FROM 34N TO 43N BETWEEN 136W
AND 142W WINDS LESS THAN 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF AREA NEAR 35N151E 1002 MB. W OF A LINE
FROM 30N180W TO 40N170E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA NEAR 36N151E 1006 MB. W OF A LINE
FROM 30N175E TO 40N165E WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW LOW 44N148W 1010 MB. FROM 44N TO 48N
BETWEEN 141W AND 151W WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N154W 1008 MB. FROM 45N TO 53N BETWEEN
143W AND 160W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 42N TO 56N W OF
W OF 171W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG W OF A LINE FROM 45N170W TO 59N178W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 51N BETWEEN 145W AND
151W…AND W OF A LINE FROM 42N164W TO 49N170W TO 61N170W.
.FORECASTER EHRBAR. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 03.
.WARNINGS.
…HURRICANE WARNING…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 16.6N 108.9W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC
AUG 01 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW
AND SE QUADRANTS…40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 17.7N 112.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS…70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO
14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.0N 116.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE…70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM
OF CENTER…EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10
TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND
122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK…SIZE
AND INTENSITY.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
CONVECTION VALID AT 0345 UTC AUG 01…
.TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA…NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER…EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. NUMEROUS
MODERATE IN WIDE BANDS FROM 14N TO 16N BETWEEN 108W AND 112W.
SIMILAR CONVECTION FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W.
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 124W FROM 07N TO 18N WITH A 1009 MB LOW
ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 14N. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM W OF
LOW AND FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W.
.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 07N82W AND
WITHIN 60 NM OF 20N107W.
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH…
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 09N95W TO 12N104W. IT
RESUMES FROM 14N111W TO LOW PRES NEAR 14N124W 1009 MB TO 13N130W
TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N136W 1011 MB AND TO 10N140W. NUMEROUS
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 90W
AND 95W AND FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 86W
AND 91W.
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W…FROM
10N TO 12N BETWEEN 127W AND 129W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF TROUGH
BETWEEN 129W AND 133W.
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
NORTH PACIFIC EQUATOR TO 30N BETWEEN 140W AND 160E
SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC AUG 01 2024.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 02 2024.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC AUG 03 2024.
.WARNINGS.
.NONE.
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NEW TROUGH 30N144W 27N154W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MORE N OF AREA.
.WINDS E 20 TO 25 KT N OF 25N BETWEEN 170E AND 175W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 25N BETWEEN 170E AND
180W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 25N W OF 180W.
.WINDS 20 KT OR LESS REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.SEAS 8 TO 9 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 170E AND 180W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEAS SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 8 FT.
.SEAS 8 FT OR LOWER REMAINDER FORECAST AREA.
.MONSOON TROUGH 10N140W 10N144W THENCE ITCZ 07N160W 10N180W
09N168E. ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS 210 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF ITCZ
BETWEEN 160W TO 170W…AND W OF 180W.
.ISOLATED MODERATE TSTMS WITHIN 270 NM OF A LINE 30N172E
22N177W 17N177W…AND WITHIN 180 NM OF POINT 27N170W.
¤¤
.FORECASTER PECHACEK. HONOLULU HI.
UUID 6D39FC82-4FC6-11EF-B95A-0AFB0B270000 TX 1