WTPZ23 KNHC 311441
TCMEP3 1441
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032024
1500 UTC WED JUL 31 2024
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.2W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 107.2W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 106.7W
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 15.7N 108.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT…GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.3N 110.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT…GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT… 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.7N 112.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT…GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT… 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 17.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT… 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 117.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 25SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT… 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT…GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT…100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 18.0N 121.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT…GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 90NE 80SE 80SW 90NW.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N 123.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT…GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT… 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT… 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 107.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
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FORECASTER PAPIN
UUID 0880FA78-4F4B-11EF-9186-0AFB0B270000 TX 1
